The First Company To Reach $1 Trillion In Value Is...

There were so many interesting stories and reports that popped up this past week that I am going to quickly share them all.

Apple hits $1 trillion. Following its quarterly earnings release, Apple became the first company to reach a $1 trillion valuation. This is based on its market capitalization, which is the share price multiplied by the number of shares outstanding. Amazon is the next-largest company, but still sits roughly $100 billion behind Apple, followed by Google ($850 billion) and Microsoft ($830b).

Man rigs McDonalds Monopoly game. An absolutely crazy story about a guy who rigged the McDonalds Monopoly contest back in the 1990s. It is a long article, but if you have 30 minutes it is worth reading. Not soon after this came out, Ben Affleck and Matt Damon announced they will turn it into a movie.

Another solid month for housing. Homes rose by +6.5% on average across the country in May. Seattle maintained its lead on the rest of the country, with prices rising +2.2% during the month and +13.6% in the past year. Las Vegas (up +12.6%) and San Francisco (up +10.9%) held on to the second and third spots. Here is a complete city-by-city look:

What the heck is "blockchain"? Have you been wondering what "blockchain" means and is all about? Here is a good explanation, in basic language.

Capital gains tax change? The Treasury Department is weighing a change to capital gains taxes that would radically alter how investors calculate long-term capital gains. The proposal involves allowing investors to increase their cost-basis by adjusting it for inflation.

Here is roughly how it would work. So let's suppose you invest in something today for $100,000 and sell it in 6 years for $250,000. The capital gain would be:

($250,000 - $100,000) = $150,000 capital gain

Under the proposed change, the "cost-basis" (essentially the purchase price) is adjusted higher for inflation. Let's say inflation is 3% per-year. Your cost basis would increase from $100,000 to roughly $120,000. This reduces your capital gain by $20,000. So, instead of owing taxes on $150,000, you would owe taxes on $130,000.

More bad news for Wells Fargo. Following up on what I wrote a couple weeks ago, more and more details are coming out about the bad business practices that have occurred at Wells in the past decade.

Federal Reserve says "no change". The Fed decided to hold its target lending rate, the Federal Funds Rate, at 1.75% following its most recent committee meeting. It is likely the Fed will raise rates once more before the end of the year, pending stock market behavior.

The Fed Funds rate is the benchmark that banks use to lend more to one another and it is ultimately the rate that trickles down to consumer banks that you and I use when investing into short-term CDs or money market funds.

Unemployment back below 4.0%. The unemployment rate improved to 3.9% in July as +157,000 hires were made during the month. Unemployment remains right near the previous lows from 2000. Take a look...

In The Market...

The S&P 500 gained +0.8% this past week. Let's look under the hood:

(price data via stockcharts.com)

The S&P index rose for the 5th-straight week, while most sectors finished in the green. Real Estate made a big move, rising more than +3.0%, while Energy was the main loser, down -1.8%. Both of our sector positions performed nicely, with Health Care (XLV) rising another +2.1% and Technology (XLK) rebounding +1.2%.

July gains: The S&P climbed +3.7% in July, marking the 4th-straight monthly gain. Health Care (XLV) was the biggest winner, up +6.6%, while Tech (XLK) gained a little more than +2%. Including the early-August gains, the S&P 500 is still -1.0% below the previous high.

No-cost funds? Fidelity announced it will be rolling out some no-cost index exchange-traded funds (ETFs) in the near future. Fund creators are steadily lowering their fees as there is more and more competition. This move by Fidelity to a zero-fee fund is indicative of that.

ETFs are quickly replacing more traditional mutual funds, due to their reduced costs and greater tax efficiency. Mutual fund providers historically charged anywhere between 1% and 3% to investors for the ability to invest in their funds. Those costs have been driven down as ETF competition has provided largely the same level of performance at a fraction of the cost. Eventually, mutual funds will be very niche and few in number.

For context, we use ETFs that are either very low-cost to own, or, relatively low cost but carry no costs to buy and sell. I am happy to share more if you are interested.

In Our Portfolios...


What's New With Us?

I spent much of the weekend trying to locate and destroy a yellow jacket nest that is forming near the ground next to our house. I have learned more about bees in the past 72 hours than I ever cared to know. If anyone has a tip, I'm all ears. So far I have won a couple battles, but the bees are ultimately winning this war.

Have a great week,

Brian E. Betz, CFP®
Principal

Wells Fargo Tries To Reinvent Itself With Technology

As you may know, it has been a rough couple of years for Wells Fargo.

From opening millions of fake customer accounts to pushing sketchy investment products to charging customers for auto insurance they did not need, it has been one unethical move after another. Now, the big bank is undergoing a massive change in light of its shake-up.

Wells Fargo is phasing out human investment advisers in favor of an automated approach that slots client funds into what are effectively non-managed portfolio models. From what I gather this is the Wells iteration of a "robo" advisory service, similar to what the more pure robo-advisers like Wealthfront or Betterment offer.

I am no fan of these robo-advisers, although I do see the purpose they will serve in the future once many of the kinks are ironed out. Right now the robo-approach is a flawed first-generation technology. But as the technology improves it will become a sound option for small investors who have previously been without a good solution.

I do not think there is anything wrong with this shift that Wells Fargo is making away from human advisers (here is the full story). I think it does highlight three things though:

  1. It signals the direction where big firms are headed. It is becoming increasingly difficult for large investment firms to provide better and better value to clients over time, due to increased industry competition, particularly those companies that are saving money by replacing headcount with technology.
  2. It reiterates how vital it is that we as advisers are actually advising and managing portfolios, rather than sitting back and collecting a check or commission payment.
  3. It reinforces the need to conduct financial planning. Robotics will have a very difficult time comprehending and reacting to the human emotion that goes into personal finance. Part of the reason we focus so heavily on behavior is to limit the negative influences that emotions can have on your money decisions.

We manage client portfolios on a daily basis. If the market is open we are evaluating it, even though most of the time it does not result in any specific action. We are always available to help you plan, whether that means assisting you with a one-off financial matter or digging into a comprehensive plan.

In The Market...

The S&P 500 was essentially flat this past week. Let's look under the hood:

(price data via stockcharts.com)

Technically the S&P index gained +0.07% last week, but we will call it flat. It was kind of a weird week ahead of quarterly earnings announcements that are looming from the likes of Google, Amazon, Facebook, etc.

We are closing in on what has historically been the weakest time of the year for the stock market. Last year was pretty kind, as the S&P 500 fell only -2.0% before continuing its rally. The two years prior, 2015 and 2016 were much bumpier rides. For now though there is not much to update based on last week, but again, earnings announcements will change that soon.

In Our Portfolios...


What's New With Us?

We have been creating short informational videos on various investment and financial planning concepts. They will be available here on the site as we publish them. Here is one in which we explain everything you need to know about Restricted Stock ("RSUs").

Have a great week,

Brian E. Betz, CFP®
Principal